Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester played?

Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire

Gainsborough Trinity

United of Manchester

The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Gainsborough Trinity (1,829) and United of Manchester (1,779).

Gainsborough Trinity win46 %

Draw26 %

United of Manchester win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; United of Manchester have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainsborough Trinity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Quorn(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Bury(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

United of Manchester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Workington(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Hyde United(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Leek Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gainsborough Trinity win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 United of Manchester win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	United of Manchester 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern
Feb 21, 2026	United of Manchester 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 18, 2025	Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 United of Manchester	Non League Premier - Northern
Mar 22, 2025	Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 United of Manchester	Non League Premier - Northern
Jan 14, 2025	United of Manchester 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern
Feb 3, 2024	United of Manchester 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gainsborough Trinity score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gainsborough Trinity	1.3	1.5	3	8/15	9/15
United of Manchester	1.0	1.9	2	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainsborough Trinity sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 6 matches) and United of Manchester sit 22nd (2 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Gainsborough Trinity	6	3	1	2	12	6	10
22	United of Manchester	6	0	2	4	3	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester?: The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for United of Manchester.
Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester played?: Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.