Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Avro (1,913) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Avro win, 0 draws, 0 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Avro | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 2.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (25 points from 12 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
A question about Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Avro vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 23, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAshton United
- Jan 23, 2027Warrington TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 23, 2027Whitby TownvsHyde United
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