Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilkeston Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,568) and Whitby Town (1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Whitby Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilkeston Town win, 1 draw, 4 Whitby Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitby Town 2-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Whitby Town 0-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 5-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Whitby Town 3-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 1.5 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Whitby Town | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 18 matches) and Whitby Town sit 15th (19 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Whitby Town | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 47 | 19 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 13 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Guiseley AFCvsWorkington
- Jan 16, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 16, 2027Hyde UnitedvsLancaster City
- Jan 16, 2027Curzon AshtonvsAFC Emley
- Jan 16, 2027Leek TownvsStockton Town
- Jan 16, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsWarrington Town
- Jan 16, 2027Ashton UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Jan 16, 2027AvrovsAlfreton Town