Guiseley AFC vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Workington?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Workington (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guiseley AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Workington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington 2-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 1-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Workington 0-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Workington 0-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 2-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Workington 2-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Workington vs Guiseley AFC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guiseley AFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Workington?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Workington.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Workington played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Workington is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 16, 2027Hyde UnitedvsLancaster City
- Jan 16, 2027Curzon AshtonvsAFC Emley
- Jan 16, 2027Ilkeston TownvsWhitby Town
- Jan 16, 2027Leek TownvsStockton Town
- Jan 16, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsWarrington Town
- Jan 16, 2027Ashton UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Jan 16, 2027AvrovsAlfreton Town