Where and when is Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport played?

Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Alcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,723) and Alcobendas Sport (1,714).

Galapagar win35 %

Draw26 %

Alcobendas Sport win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Galapagar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	Galapagar 1-3 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 22, 2025	Alcobendas Sport 2-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2025	Galapagar 3-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 30, 2024	Alcobendas Sport 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 21, 2024	Galapagar 1-2 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 3, 2023	Alcobendas Sport 3-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport?: The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport played?: Galapagar vs Alcobendas Sport is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.