Match

Real Aranjuez vs Parla Escuela: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezParla Escuela

The Footlab model makes Real Aranjuez the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Parla Escuela. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Parla Escuela?

Parla Escuela starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,540).

Real Aranjuez win37 %
Draw27 %
Parla Escuela win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Parla Escuela have 1, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Madrid 2021 FP(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023RSC Internacional(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Trival Valderas(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Galapagar(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Parla Escuela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 26, 2024Valencia(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 9, 2024Sonseca(away)1-0Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez0.62.244/156/15
Parla Escuela0.50.510/20/2

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Parla Escuela?
The Footlab model makes Real Aranjuez the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Parla Escuela.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Parla Escuela played?
Real Aranjuez vs Parla Escuela is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Aranjuez and Parla Escuela

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