Gazalkent vs Kokand-1912: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gazalkent the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kokand-1912. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gazalkent vs Kokand-1912?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Gazalkent (1,613) and Kokand-1912 (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gazalkent have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kokand-1912 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(away) | 4-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(home) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BuxDu(away) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Respublika FA(away) | 7-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aral(home) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gazalkent score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kokand-1912 score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazalkent | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kokand-1912 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gazalkent vs Kokand-1912?
- The Footlab model makes Gazalkent the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kokand-1912.
- Where and when is Gazalkent vs Kokand-1912 played?
- Gazalkent vs Kokand-1912 is played on September 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.