Sogdiana vs Jayxun: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi, Jizzax
The Footlab model makes Sogdiana the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Jayxun. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Jayxun?
Sogdiana starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,447).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sogdiana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Jayxun have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Surkhon(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lochin(away) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FarDu(home) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(away) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(away) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BuxDu(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sogdiana score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jayxun score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogdiana | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Jayxun | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sogdiana vs Jayxun?
- The Footlab model makes Sogdiana the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Jayxun.
- Where and when is Sogdiana vs Jayxun played?
- Sogdiana vs Jayxun is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.