Surkhon vs PFK Guliston: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Termiz
The Footlab model makes Surkhon the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for PFK Guliston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Surkhon vs PFK Guliston?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Surkhon have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; PFK Guliston have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Surkhon vs PFK Guliston?
- The Footlab model makes Surkhon the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for PFK Guliston.
- Where and when is Surkhon vs PFK Guliston played?
- Surkhon vs PFK Guliston is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.