Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for JKT Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Geita Gold (1,473) and JKT Tanzania (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; JKT Tanzania have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Geita Gold win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 JKT Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | JKT Tanzania 2-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Geita Gold 1-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: JKT Tanzania vs Geita Gold on May 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; JKT Tanzania score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| JKT Tanzania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and JKT Tanzania sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | JKT Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for JKT Tanzania.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania played?
- Geita Gold vs JKT Tanzania is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.