Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamba Jiji wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar?
On Elo ratings, Pamba Jiji has 1,532 points and Kagera Sugar 1,499.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 20S. Oyugi Siwa
- 54H. Msabila
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 32A. Said
- 3I. Abraham
- 18E. Johola
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pamba Jiji wins, 1 draw, 1 Kagera Sugar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | Kagera Sugar 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Pamba Jiji 1-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Kagera Sugar vs Pamba Jiji on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 8 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar is played on December 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.