Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab AI model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fountain Gate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,838 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,513) and Polisi Tanzania (1,553).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 20A. Athuman
- 27Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 10Tiote
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 19A. Mtambi
- 29J. Shiga
- 28M. Kilusomo
Polisi Tanzania
4-3-3- 26A. Jabiri
- 7H. Kyombo
- 11J. Kibaya
- 22F. Evance
- 12S. Antwi
- 28D. Uromi
- 33O. G. Masai
- 2I. Ame
- SS. Onditi
- 15K. Kunambi
- 48B. Kakolanya
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fountain Gate wins, 0 draws, 0 Polisi Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2023 | Fountain Gate 3-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania on Apr 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 9 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 7th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.