Tabora United vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tabora United vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,995 Elo points against 1,601, a 394-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tabora United vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tabora United
4-3-3- 30J. Akandwanaho
- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 33Winga Belebo
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 19M. Yassin
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 32K. Kijili
- 18D. Mgore
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tabora United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tabora United wins, 1 draw, 5 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Tabora United 0-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Simba 3-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tabora United 0-3 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Simba 3-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 6, 2024 | Simba 2-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Tabora United 0-4 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Simba on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tabora United sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 7 matches) and Simba sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Tabora United vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tabora United vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Tabora United vs Simba played?
- Tabora United vs Simba is played on December 11, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.