Geita Gold vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 8, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Geita Gold (1,473) and Namungo (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Namungo have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Geita Gold win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo 1-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 10, 2024 | Namungo 2-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Geita Gold 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Namungo 2-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Geita Gold 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Geita Gold on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Namungo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Namungo sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Namungo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Namungo played?
- Geita Gold vs Namungo is played on February 8, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.