Fountain Gate vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,483) and Namungo (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Namungo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fountain Gate win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo 0-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Fountain Gate 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate 1-2 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Namungo 0-2 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Fountain Gate 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Namungo 2-3 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Fountain Gate on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Namungo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Namungo played?
- Fountain Gate vs Namungo is played on February 12, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.