Gelbison vs Igea Virtus: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
The Footlab AI model makes Gelbison the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Igea Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gelbison wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,990 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Gelbison (1,826) and Igea Virtus (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gelbison
Not enough data to predict the Gelbison lineup.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gelbison have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Igea Virtus have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Paganese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gelbison wins, 2 draws, 0 Igea Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Gelbison 1-1 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Igea Virtus 1-1 Gelbison | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Gelbison vs Igea Virtus on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gelbison score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Igea Virtus score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gelbison | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Igea Virtus | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gelbison the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Igea Virtus.
- Where and when is Gelbison vs Igea Virtus played?
- Gelbison vs Igea Virtus is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.