Lazio vs Parma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Parma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
Lazio starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lazio vs Parma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 22M. Cancellieri
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Parma
3-4-2-1- 19E. Touré
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 27S. Britschgi
- 32C. Ordoñez
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 72D. Drobnic
- 40E. Corvi
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lazio have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Parma have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lazio wins, 2 draws, 1 Parma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lazio 1-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Parma 0-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Lazio 2-2 Parma | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Parma 3-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| May 12, 2021 | Lazio 1-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Lazio 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Lazio score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lazio sit 3rd in Serie A (13 points from 5 matches) and Parma sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Lazio vs Parma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lazio vs Parma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Parma.
- Where and when is Lazio vs Parma played?
- Lazio vs Parma is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.