Atalanta vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atalanta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Atalanta (2,113) and Frosinone (2,057).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atalanta vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atalanta
4-3-3- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 9G. Scamacca
- 13Éderson
- 10L. Samardžić
- 19F. Kessié
- 42G. Scalvini
- 16R. Bellanova
- 3O. Kossounou
- 23S. Kolašinac
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 10R. Schmid
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 3G. Calvani
- 20A. Oyono
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atalanta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Frosinone have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atalanta wins, 1 draw, 1 Frosinone win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Frosinone 2-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Jan 20, 2019 | Frosinone 0-5 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2018 | Atalanta 4-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Frosinone 0-0 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Atalanta 2-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atalanta vs Frosinone on Jan 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atalanta score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atalanta sit 11th in Serie A (6 points from 5 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Atalanta vs Frosinone played?
- Atalanta vs Frosinone is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Gewiss Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.