Match

Cagliari vs Bologna: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari

CagliariBologna

The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bologna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Cagliari (1,907) and Bologna (1,951).

33%29%38%
Cagliari winDrawBologna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Bologna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
  1. 31P. Mendy
  1. 6H. Winks
  2. 8M. Adopo
  3. 4A. Romano
  4. 70D. Maldini
  5. 79Y. Massolin
  1. 15J. Rodríguez
  2. 2Zé Pedro
  3. 33A. Obert
  4. 26Y. Mina
  1. 1E. Caprile

Bologna

3-4-2-1
  1. 91R. Piccoli
  1. 28N. Cambiaghi
  2. 19L. Ferguson
  3. 4T. Pobega
  4. 33Juan Miranda
  5. 20N. Zortea
  6. 7R. Orsolini
  1. 14T. Heggem
  2. 16N. Casale
  3. 36M. Darmian
  1. 25M. Pessina

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bologna have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cagliari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Juventus(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Udinese(away)1-0Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Atalanta(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Lecce(home)1-0Serie A
Sep 3, 2026Hellas Verona(home)1-2Coppa Italia
Bologna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecce(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Torino(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Napoli(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-2Serie A
Aug 31, 2026Atalanta(away)0-1Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cagliari win, 1 draw, 4 Bologna wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Bologna 0-0 CagliariSerie A
Oct 19, 2025Cagliari 0-2 BolognaSerie A
Mar 2, 2025Bologna 2-1 CagliariSerie A
Oct 29, 2024Cagliari 0-2 BolognaSerie A
Jan 14, 2024Cagliari 2-1 BolognaSerie A
Sep 2, 2023Bologna 2-1 CagliariSerie A

Last archived meeting: Bologna vs Cagliari on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cagliari1.00.776/155/15
Bologna1.31.528/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cagliari sit 4th in Serie A (13 points from 6 matches) and Bologna sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Cagliari64116313
14Bologna6123575

A question about Cagliari vs Bologna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Bologna?
The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cagliari.
Where and when is Cagliari vs Bologna played?
Cagliari vs Bologna is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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