Lecce vs Juventus: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Lecce. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Juventus starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (2,173 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecce vs Juventus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecce
4-3-3- 29L. Coulibaly
- 9N. Štulić
- 99Joël Monteiro
- 20I. Ilić
- 50S. Pierotti
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 30W. Falcone
Juventus
3-4-2-1- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 2Z. Çelik
- 22W. McKennie
- 31N. González
- 49G. Makiobo
- 5M. Locatelli
- 3Bremer
- 15P. Kalulu
- 26J. Lucumí
- 25G. Vicario
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Juventus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lecce wins, 2 draws, 4 Juventus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Lecce 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Juventus 1-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Juventus 2-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Lecce 1-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Lecce 0-3 Juventus | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Juventus 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventus | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecce sit 12th in Serie A (6 points from 5 matches) and Juventus sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Lecce vs Juventus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Juventus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Lecce vs Juventus played?
- Lecce vs Juventus is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.