Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia?
Flaminia starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Flaminia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Flaminia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-4 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Flaminia 1-3 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Flaminia 0-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-0 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Flaminia | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia?
- The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Flaminia is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.