Seravezza vs San Donato Tavarnelle: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for San Donato Tavarnelle. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; San Donato Tavarnelle have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sangiovannese(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Seravezza win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 San Donato Tavarnelle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle 1-1 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Seravezza 2-0 San Donato Tavarnelle | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 26, 2025 | San Donato Tavarnelle 0-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Seravezza 1-1 San Donato Tavarnelle | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Seravezza 0-0 San Donato Tavarnelle | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 14, 2024 | San Donato Tavarnelle 1-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: San Donato Tavarnelle vs Seravezza on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Donato Tavarnelle score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seravezza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (57 points from 34 matches) and San Donato Tavarnelle sit 12th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
| 12 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for San Donato Tavarnelle.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs San Donato Tavarnelle played?
- Seravezza vs San Donato Tavarnelle is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.