Progresso vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresso vs Tau Altopascio?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Progresso (1,681) and Tau Altopascio (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Progresso win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tau Altopascio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Tau Altopascio 1-1 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Progresso 1-0 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Tau Altopascio vs Progresso on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Tau Altopascio?
- The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Progresso vs Tau Altopascio played?
- Progresso vs Tau Altopascio is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.