Ternana vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ternana vs Prato?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Ternana (1,844) and Prato (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ternana vs Prato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Prato have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ternana wins, 0 draws, 1 Prato win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Ternana | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 6 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Ternana vs Prato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Prato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Prato.
- Where and when is Ternana vs Prato played?
- Ternana vs Prato is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 6, 2027Robur SienavsScandicci
- Jan 6, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsFlaminia
- Jan 6, 2027SeravezzavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Jan 6, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsTerranuova Traiana
- Jan 6, 2027GrassinavsGavorrano
- Jan 6, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsLucchese
- Jan 6, 2027ProgressovsTau Altopascio
- Jan 6, 2027RondinellavsMezzolara