Where and when is Ternana vs Prato played?

Ternana vs Prato is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ternana vs Prato: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni

Ternana

Prato

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ternana vs Prato?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Ternana (1,860) and Prato (1,786).

Ternana win47 %

Draw28 %

Prato win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ternana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Pianese(away)	1-1	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026	Pianese(home)	1-3	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026	Bra(away)	2-1	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Perugia(home)	2-2	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	1-2	Serie C - Girone B

Prato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Grosseto(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ternana	1.5	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Prato	1.6	0.6	10	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Prato	34	20	5	9	49	29	63

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Prato?: The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Prato.
Where and when is Ternana vs Prato played?: Ternana vs Prato is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.