Grassina vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gavorrano wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Gavorrano?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Grassina (1,703) and Gavorrano (1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grassina vs Gavorrano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Gavorrano
4-3-3- 9Cristian Carlo Brega
- 19R. Barbuti
- 11M. Malotti
- 8Loris Damonte
- 25Leandro Vitiello
- 21F. Conti
- 3P. Ropolo
- 23D. Mori
- 6D. Marchetti
- 16G. Favale
- 1W. Falcone
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Gavorrano have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-6 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Prato(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Grassina wins, 1 draw, 2 Gavorrano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gavorrano 2-0 Grassina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Gavorrano 2-0 Grassina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Grassina 1-1 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grassina sit 16th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 7 matches) and Gavorrano sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gavorrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 16 | Grassina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Grassina vs Gavorrano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Gavorrano played?
- Grassina vs Gavorrano is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 6, 2027TernanavsPrato
- Jan 6, 2027Robur SienavsScandicci
- Jan 6, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsFlaminia
- Jan 6, 2027SeravezzavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Jan 6, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsTerranuova Traiana
- Jan 6, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsLucchese
- Jan 6, 2027ProgressovsTau Altopascio
- Jan 6, 2027RondinellavsMezzolara