Where and when is Grassina vs Gavorrano played?

Grassina vs Gavorrano is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grassina vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli

Grassina

Gavorrano

The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grassina vs Gavorrano?

Grassina starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,643).

Grassina win49 %

Draw27 %

Gavorrano win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Grassina win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gavorrano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano 2-0 Grassina	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 20, 2019	Grassina 1-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Grassina on Feb 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Gavorrano?: The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Grassina vs Gavorrano played?: Grassina vs Gavorrano is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.