GIL Vicente vs Nacional: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Nacional. The most likely score is 1-1. If GIL Vicente wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Nacional?
GIL Vicente starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,086 vs 1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GIL Vicente vs Nacional
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 9Walace
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 29N. Kader
- 12Song Min-Kyu
- 15C. Labidi
- 20Matchoi Djaló
- 31D. Dongmo
- 10Daniel Júnior
- 38Zé Vitor
- 21W. Kokolo
- 33Francisco Gonçalves
- 88Deivison
- 1Renato Bellucci
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nacional have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 GIL Vicente wins, 0 draws, 0 Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | GIL Vicente 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Nacional 0-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Nacional 0-3 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | GIL Vicente 2-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2022 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Nacional | Taça da Liga |
| Mar 19, 2021 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Nacional on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nacional | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 7th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 9 matches) and Nacional sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about GIL Vicente vs Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs Nacional?
- The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Nacional.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs Nacional played?
- GIL Vicente vs Nacional is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.