Santa Clara vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Santa Clara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,442 Elo points against 2,138, a 304-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Clara vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 19N. Irankunda
- 97L. Suárez
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 1Rui Silva
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santa Clara win, 0 draws, 5 Sporting CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sporting CP 4-2 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting CP | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Sporting CP 2-1 Santa Clara | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sporting CP 0-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs Santa Clara on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Clara sit 4th in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Sporting CP sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
A question about Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Santa Clara.
- Where and when is Santa Clara vs Sporting CP played?
- Santa Clara vs Sporting CP is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.