Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes played?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Quilmes

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Quilmes. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Gimnasia Y Tiro (1,802) and Quilmes (1,762).

Gimnasia Y Tiro win51 %

Draw29 %

Quilmes win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Quilmes have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia Y Tiro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	San Martin S.J.(away)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Central Norte(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Nueva Chicago(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Almagro(away)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Temperley(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

Quilmes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Maipu(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	San Telmo(home)	3-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Almagro(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Patronato(away)	3-3	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gimnasia Y Tiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Quilmes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2026	Quilmes 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro	Primera Nacional
Jun 13, 2025	Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Feb 8, 2025	Quilmes 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia Y Tiro score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia Y Tiro	1.0	0.7	7	6/15	3/15
Quilmes	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 7th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Quilmes sit 10th (32 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Gimnasia Y Tiro	26	10	8	8	27	25	38
10	Quilmes	26	8	8	10	27	22	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Quilmes.
Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes played?: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Quilmes is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.