Algeciras vs Antequera: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Antequera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Antequera?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,886) and Antequera (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Antequera have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Algeciras win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Antequera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Antequera 2-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Algeciras 1-0 Antequera | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Antequera 1-3 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Algeciras 1-1 Antequera | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Algeciras 2-3 Antequera | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Antequera 0-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Antequera vs Algeciras on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Antequera score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Antequera | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (55 points from 38 matches) and Antequera sit 7th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Antequera?
- The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Antequera.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Antequera played?
- Algeciras vs Antequera is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.