Match

Gimnástica Segoviana vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica SegovianaRSD Alcalá

The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs RSD Alcalá?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846) and RSD Alcalá (1,880).

Gimnástica Segoviana win41 %
Draw28 %
RSD Alcalá win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Madrid II(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Valladolid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 RSD Alcalá win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026RSD Alcalá 1-1 Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Segoviana0.81.336/156/15
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs RSD Alcalá played?
Gimnástica Segoviana vs RSD Alcalá is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gimnástica Segoviana and RSD Alcalá

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