Real Ávila vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Guadalajara?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,878) and Guadalajara (1,892).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs Guadalajara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Ávila
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 30M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Guadalajara have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 4-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Ávila sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 8 matches) and Guadalajara sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Real Ávila | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Real Ávila vs Guadalajara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Guadalajara played?
- Real Ávila vs Guadalajara is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027NumanciavsGetafe II
- Apr 18, 2027NavalcarnerovsReal Valladolid II
- Apr 18, 2027Gimnástica SegovianavsRSD Alcalá
- Apr 18, 2027SS ReyesvsCF Talavera
- Apr 18, 2027Salamanca UDSvsConquense
- Apr 18, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsAlbacete II
- Apr 18, 2027Calvo SotelovsAtlético Astorga
- Apr 18, 2027A Madrid IIIvsCalamocha