Real Ávila vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Guadalajara?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,893) and Guadalajara (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Guadalajara played?
- Real Ávila vs Guadalajara is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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