Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga played?

Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano

Calvo Sotelo

Atlético Astorga

The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,941) and Atlético Astorga (1,892).

Calvo Sotelo win50 %

Draw27 %

Atlético Astorga win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Atlético Astorga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	La Bañeza(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Sarriana(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15
Atlético Astorga	1.3	1.3	5	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga?: The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Astorga.
Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga played?: Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Astorga is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.