Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Torrelavega. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,914) and Sestao River (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Not enough data to predict the Gimnástica Torrelavega lineup.
Sestao River
4-4-2- 8Ander Laka
- 17A. Bengoetxea
- 16Josemi Castañeda
- 6E. Delgado
- 20Adri Carrión
- 11G. Zorrilla
- 22Markel Etxeberría
- 5Andoni Ugarte
- 3Gorri
- 15G. Argente
- 26Nistal Recalde Pablo
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sestao River have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 4-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, 2 draws, 0 Sestao River wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sestao River 0-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-1 Sestao River | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 18th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 8 matches) and Sestao River sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sestao River | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 18 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Sestao River is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.