Compostela vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela
The Footlab AI model makes Compostela the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Compostela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Compostela vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Compostela (1,876) and Gernika (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Compostela vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Compostela
Not enough data to predict the Compostela lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gernika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Compostela score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Compostela sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Gernika sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Compostela | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Compostela vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Compostela the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Compostela vs Gernika played?
- Compostela vs Gernika is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.