Real Madrid III vs Eibar II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Eibar II?
Eibar II starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid III vs Eibar II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Eibar II
Not enough data to predict the Eibar II lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Eibar II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid III score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Eibar II | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
A question about Real Madrid III vs Eibar II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Eibar II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Eibar II played?
- Real Madrid III vs Eibar II is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.