Amorebieta vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amorebieta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,920) and Bergantiños (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amorebieta vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bergantiños have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Amorebieta wins, 0 draws, 1 Bergantiños win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños 1-0 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Amorebieta on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amorebieta sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 7 matches) and Bergantiños sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Amorebieta vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs Bergantiños played?
- Amorebieta vs Bergantiños is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.