Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze played?

GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice

Gornik Zabrze

The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Gornik Zabrze (2,041).

GKS Katowice win49 %

Draw26 %

Gornik Zabrze win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GKS Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Plock(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)	0-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gornik Zabrze win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	GKS Katowice 3-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025	Gornik Zabrze 3-0 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Mar 30, 2025	GKS Katowice 2-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 3-0 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 27, 2023	GKS Katowice 0-4 Gornik Zabrze	Cup
Oct 20, 2022	GKS Katowice 1-2 Gornik Zabrze	Cup

Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
GKS Katowice	1.9	1.1	4	8/15	8/15
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
8	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	9	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze?: The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze played?: GKS Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.