Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Pogon Szczecin | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 5-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Zaglebie Lubin | Cup |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 27, 2027Piast GliwicevsMotor Lublin
- Feb 27, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
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