Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).

Pogon Szczecin win47 %
Draw26 %
Zaglebie Lubin win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Pogon SzczecinFriendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Nov 24, 2025Pogon Szczecin 5-1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Feb 1, 2025Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Dec 4, 2024Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Zaglebie LubinCup
Jul 28, 2024Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pogon Szczecin and Zaglebie Lubin

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