Match

Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Piast GliwiceMotor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,917) and Motor Lublin (1,934).

Piast Gliwice win50 %
Draw24 %
Motor Lublin win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piast Gliwice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-4Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)4-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-2Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 20, 2026Piast Gliwice 1-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Aug 16, 2025Motor Lublin 0-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
May 9, 2025Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Nov 8, 2024Piast Gliwice 2-3 Motor LublinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Piast Gliwice1.41.648/157/15
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Motor Lublin5122685
14Piast Gliwice51138134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin played?
Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Piast Gliwice and Motor Lublin

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