Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,917) and Motor Lublin (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 1-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Motor Lublin 0-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| May 9, 2025 | Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 2-3 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027JagielloniavsRaków Częstochowa
- Feb 27, 2027Slask WroclawvsLegia Warszawa
- Feb 27, 2027Korona KielcevsWisla Plock
- Feb 27, 2027Lech PoznanvsWidzew Łódź
- Feb 27, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsZaglebie Lubin
- Feb 27, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 27, 2027GKS KatowicevsGornik Zabrze
- Feb 27, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsWisla Krakow