Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,947) and Wisla Plock (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wisla Plock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Wisla Plock 2-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Korona Kielce 1-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Wisla Plock 2-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Wisla Plock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Korona Kielce 4-3 Wisla Plock | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock on Dec 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock played?
- Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027JagielloniavsRaków Częstochowa
- Feb 27, 2027Slask WroclawvsLegia Warszawa
- Feb 27, 2027Lech PoznanvsWidzew Łódź
- Feb 27, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsZaglebie Lubin
- Feb 27, 2027Piast GliwicevsMotor Lublin
- Feb 27, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 27, 2027GKS KatowicevsGornik Zabrze
- Feb 27, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsWisla Krakow