Match

Lech Poznan vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Lech PoznanWidzew Łódź

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Widzew Łódź?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 1,966).

Lech Poznan win62 %
Draw22 %
Widzew Łódź win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Thun(home)7-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026KI Klaksvik(away)5-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)3-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026KI Klaksvik(home)1-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lech Poznan win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Widzew Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Widzew Łódź 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Aug 31, 2025Lech Poznan 2-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jan 31, 2025Lech Poznan 4-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jul 27, 2024Widzew Łódź 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
May 19, 2024Widzew Łódź 1-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Nov 26, 2023Lech Poznan 1-3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznan2.60.777/1511/15
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lech Poznan3210517
9Widzew Łódź5131876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Widzew Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Widzew Łódź played?
Lech Poznan vs Widzew Łódź is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznan and Widzew Łódź

Ready to know everything about football?