Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia played?

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Jagiellonia (2,060).

GKS Katowice win50 %

Draw25 %

Jagiellonia win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GKS Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Plock(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)	0-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	GKS Katowice 2-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Mar 17, 2026	Jagiellonia 2-1 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Dec 4, 2025	GKS Katowice 3-1 Jagiellonia	Cup
Mar 2, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-0 GKS Katowice	Ekstraklasa
Aug 25, 2024	GKS Katowice 3-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
GKS Katowice	1.9	1.1	4	8/15	8/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	9	4	6
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia played?: GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.