GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaMatchday 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab AI model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If GKS Katowice wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,632 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (1,920) and Jagiellonia (1,968).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GKS Katowice
3-4-3- 17I. Shkurin
- 27B. Nowak
- 10M. Wędrychowski
- 23M. Wasielewski
- 19K. Łukasiak
- 77M. Kowalczyk
- 7M. Wdowiak
- 6L. Klemenz
- 55Pau Resta
- 30A. Czerwiński
- 87G. Kobylak
Jagiellonia
4-2-3-1- 99N. Prelec
- 11Jesús Imaz
- 7K. Szmyt
- 6T. Romanczuk
- 19A. Klynge
- 72K. Jóźwiak
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 44A. Konstantopoulos
- 4Y. Kobayashi
- 50S. Abramowicz
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice wins, 1 draw, 3 Jagiellonia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jagiellonia 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| May 17, 2026 | GKS Katowice 2-2 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Jagiellonia 2-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 4, 2025 | GKS Katowice 3-1 Jagiellonia | Cup |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Jagiellonia 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 25, 2024 | GKS Katowice 3-1 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (21 points from 14 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 9th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
A question about GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab AI model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia played?
- GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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