Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Widzew Łódź (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Widzew Łódź | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-4 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Wisla PlockvsMotor Lublin
- May 1, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsLech Poznan
- May 1, 2027Piast GliwicevsSlask Wroclaw
- May 1, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsWisla Krakow
- May 1, 2027GKS KatowicevsJagiellonia
- May 1, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsLegia Warszawa
- May 1, 2027Radomiak RadomvsKorona Kielce
- May 1, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsGornik Zabrze