Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon SzczecinWidzew Łódź

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Widzew Łódź (1,970).

Pogon Szczecin win44 %
Draw27 %
Widzew Łódź win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Motor Lublin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026Sturm Graz(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Dec 2, 2025Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Widzew ŁódźCup
Aug 22, 2025Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Feb 22, 2025Widzew Łódź 0-4 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Aug 17, 2024Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Dec 16, 2023Widzew Łódź 1-2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin1.41.347/158/15
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pogon Szczecin4211747
9Widzew Łódź5131876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź played?
Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogon Szczecin and Widzew Łódź

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