Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan played?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

Lech Poznan

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,952).

Zaglebie Lubin win26 %

Draw26 %

Lech Poznan win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Lech Poznan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FC Thun(home)	7-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026	KI Klaksvik(away)	5-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	3-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	KI Klaksvik(home)	1-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lech Poznan win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Sep 12, 2025	Lech Poznan 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 23, 2025	Lech Poznan 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Feb 10, 2024	Lech Poznan 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2023	Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Lech Poznan	2.6	0.7	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan played?: Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.