Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin played?

Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Motor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,918) and Motor Lublin (1,934).

Wisla Plock win51 %

Draw24 %

Motor Lublin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Plock win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Wisla Plock 0-4 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 8, 2025	Motor Lublin 1-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Jul 11, 2025	Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla Plock	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 10, 2025	Motor Lublin 2-1 Wisla Plock	Friendlies Clubs
May 5, 2024	Wisla Plock 1-0 Motor Lublin	I Liga
Nov 5, 2023	Motor Lublin 2-2 Wisla Plock	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?: The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin played?: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.