Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow played?

Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Jagiellonia

Cracovia Krakow

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,948).

Jagiellonia win49 %

Draw26 %

Cracovia Krakow win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Krakow
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Aug 10, 2025	Jagiellonia 5-2 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Feb 23, 2025	Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2024	Jagiellonia 2-4 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Apr 14, 2024	Jagiellonia 1-3 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Oct 8, 2023	Cracovia Krakow 2-4 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Cracovia Krakow	1.3	1.1	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cracovia Krakow	5	2	2	1	5	5	8
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Cracovia Krakow.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow played?: Jagiellonia vs Cracovia Krakow is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.