Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa played?

Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Legia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Legia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,034) and Legia Warszawa (2,059).

Raków Częstochowa win45 %

Draw26 %

Legia Warszawa win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Legia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-0	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Legia Warszawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa 1-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Sep 20, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Mar 16, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 3-2 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2024	Legia Warszawa 0-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Apr 13, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Oct 8, 2023	Legia Warszawa 1-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15
Legia Warszawa	1.9	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa?: The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Legia Warszawa.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa played?: Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warszawa is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.