GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Groningen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate GO Ahead Eagles (1,953) and Groningen (1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Groningen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GO Ahead Eagles win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Groningen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Groningen 0-0 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Groningen 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| May 7, 2023 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Groningen 1-0 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Groningen vs GO Ahead Eagles on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Groningen | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Groningen sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?
- The Footlab model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Groningen.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.