Telstar vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Telstar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Groningen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs Groningen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Telstar (1,889) and Groningen (1,957).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs Groningen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
3-4-2-1- 9Jelani Seedorf
- 10T. Owusu
- 7Rui Mendes
- 27P. Brouwer
- 17N. Rossen
- 3Gerald Alders
- 2J. Hardeveld
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 1R. Koeman
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 4M. Csinger
- 1E. Vaessen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Groningen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Telstar wins, 1 draw, 3 Groningen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Telstar 0-2 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Groningen 2-0 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| May 3, 2024 | Telstar 1-1 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Groningen 2-0 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 15th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and Groningen sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Telstar vs Groningen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Groningen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Telstar.
- Where and when is Telstar vs Groningen played?
- Telstar vs Groningen is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.