Twente vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab model makes Twente the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs ADO Den Haag?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Twente win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 Twente | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2021 | Twente 3-2 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 2-4 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Dec 7, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 0-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Apr 14, 2018 | ADO Den Haag 2-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Twente 2-3 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Twente on Jul 24, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 11th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes Twente the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Twente vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Twente vs ADO Den Haag is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.